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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 56% (307–245, n=552) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | $4.1M | $41K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #489 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (16 of 29 open) | 73% (82 of 112 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 68% (32 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Esports ±0 pts, n=518 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 56% of 524 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 23% (won 4% of 122) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 15% (won 27% of 78) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 25% (won 68% of 130) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 37% (won 92% of 194) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penguins vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | Ducks $34K | Penguins $14 | — | Ducks $3.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $91K | Coco Gauff $17K | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $65K | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $23K | Clippers $794 | — | — |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.6K | — | — | Over $3.4K |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Kings $4.5K | Heat $2.4K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $295 | — | — | Buccaneers $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | No $519 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $859 | — | Over $202 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $5 | — | T1 $999 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $29 |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $28K | — | — | Buccaneers $16K |
| Heat vs. Kings same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $13K | — | Heat $31K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $2.2K | — | Bilibili Gaming $26K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $19K | — | — | Heat $1.5K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $20K | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | — | Over $2.9K |
| Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $475 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $940 | — | Over $758 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | — | Over $360 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $928 | — | Under $149 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $831 | — | Under $2 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Giles Hussey | — | Giles Hussey $370 | — | Giles Hussey $24 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $26 |