Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)52% (594–553, n=1147)47% (705–782, n=1487)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$829K$398K$825K-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #10PM monthly #15was PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)70% (72 of 103 open)61% (54 of 88 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 100% of 14)32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
Panthers vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Stars $490Panthers $25K—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $9.3KJazz $9.9K—
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.7KOver $8.0K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $3.9K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $2.4KClippers $10K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $5.7KClippers $2.6K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $273Wizards $8.0K—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $2.0KLakers $5.7K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KUnder $2.6K—
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Rams $1.6KCardinals $302—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $861Under $577—
Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
—Marquette Golden Eagles $57Missouri Tigers $1.1K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers
—High Point Panthers $309Saint Louis Billikens $543—
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
opposite sides · consensus Texas Longhorns
—Baylor Bears $2Texas Longhorns $4—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $25K49ers $183K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $20KSeahawks $43K—
Spurs vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $18KSpurs $36K—
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.4KOregon Ducks $19K—
Hornets vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $6.1KHornets $17K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.2KUnder $4.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $4.1KSuns $6.0K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.8KUnder $6.6K—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $841—
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $53Thunder $4.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.0KOver $652—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $532Hawks $2.0K—
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-4.5)
same side · consensus Creighton Bluejays
—Creighton Bluejays $344Creighton Bluejays $1.9K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $716Under $132—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $6Cardinals $677—
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)
same side · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
—Marquette Golden Eagles $4Marquette Golden Eagles $162—
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
—Cardinals $5Cardinals $36—