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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
eleonorrigbyFlaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)59% (10–7, n=17)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)53% (578–504, n=1082)62% (16–10, n=26)
Consensus PnL$34K$661K$634K$663K
Tracked asPM monthly #922PM monthly #7PM monthly #49was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)54% (108 of 199 open)58% (46 of 80 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)13% (won 41% of 104)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 38% of 335)25% (won 70% of 203)50% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 62% of 157)45% (won 78% of 370)38% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)18% (won 97% of 149)6% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketeleonorrigbyFlaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1749ers $109KCowboys $66K
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $4Raptors $6.1K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $2.0KClippers $2.8K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $44Under $1.7K—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $135Raptors $1.6K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $611Under $614—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $854Celtics $283—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $1.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $139Celtics $859—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $517Under $463—
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $681Spurs $131—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420Under $132—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $397Jazz $84—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Wizards $182Rockets $90—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5Over $133—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2KCeltics $40K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $79Over $23K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $539Raptors $14K—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $146Mavericks $7.1K—
Hornets vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $6.1KHornets $638—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $149Over $5.8K—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $4.2KLakers $644—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.2KJazz $923—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $153—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $617Under $445—
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $22Celtics $583—
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $249Celtics $157—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $116Under $261—