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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dwarfwowFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (267 of 391 open)71% (12 of 17 open)61% (50 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdwarfwowFlaznorpprimmRN1
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
—Noma Noha Akugue $589—Sofya Lansere $24K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.7K—Yes $294
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.4K—Robin Montgomery $256
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.4K—No $46
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $635—Magda Linette $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1—Over $2.5K
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $274—No $1.8K
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8K—No $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $691—No $334
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $36—Yes $309
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $40—Yes $263
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $248—Over $11
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $24—Under $2
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $87K—No $38K
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $1.7K—Jerome Kym $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $1.2K—Toby Samuel $15K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $10K—Under $1.4K
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.7K—Under $4.5K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.4K—Yes $1.4K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.4K—Over $2.6K
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2K—No $20
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Over $3.5K
Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4K—Over $1.5K
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7K—No $74
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $938—No $3.3K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $1.7K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.0K—Under $25
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
same side · consensus Inaki Montes
—Inaki Montes $879—Inaki Montes $1.3K
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Under $929
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8K—Under $12
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $249
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $585—No $250
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $642—Under $64
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $371—Jurij Rodionov $314
Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 1 - 2 Frosinone Calcio?
same side · consensus No
—No $305—No $181
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240