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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| duratio12 | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 32% (12–26, n=38) | 49% (33–34, n=67) | 50% (65–65, n=130) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$22K | $35K | -$53K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #883 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 70% (176 of 253 open) | 53% (49 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 54 at avg 50¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 10% of 10) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 47% of 19) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 75% of 12) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 92% of 13) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | duratio12 | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | Over $1.8K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $1.6K | Hornets $162 | Cavaliers $726 |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $8.1K | Under $3 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $872 | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Nuggets $895 | Rockets $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $147 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.4K | Yes $436 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $445 | Under $1.4K |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey | — | — | Giles Hussey $227 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $836 | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Rockets (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $689 | Rockets $119 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $93 | Rockets $669 |
| Spread: Warriors (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Warriors $481 | Pelicans $128 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $316 | Under $108 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $174 | Under $186 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Grizzlies $41 | Raptors $126 |
| Will Berkhamsted FC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $94 | Yes $34 |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | — | — | Clement Tabur $2.7K | Clement Tabur $19K |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.4K | Under $14K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.4K |
| Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry | — | — | Nicolas Jarry $2.3K | Nicolas Jarry $11K |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.7K | Over $86 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $3.4K | Rockets $1.5K |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.4K | No $262 |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $894 | Under $2.7K |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.4K | No $39 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Rockets $605 | Rockets $2.5K |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.1K | Over $1.0K |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Pelicans $1.8K | Pelicans $158 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.4K | No $522 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $94 | Under $1.1K |
| Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $683 | No $263 |
| Spread: Spurs (-23.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $680 | Suns $245 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $333 | Lakers $514 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $580 | No $230 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $747 | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $364 | Lakers $416 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $315 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | — | Pistons $178 | Pistons $243 |
| Plymouth Parkway FC vs. Berkhamsted FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $351 | Under $69 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |