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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boltbison | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 44% (11385–14473, n=25858) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | -$8.8M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (48 of 82 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 56% (70 of 126 open) |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boltbison | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $19K | — | Under $4.5K |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $14K | — | Rams $8.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Cowboys $5.9K | — | Colts $6.9K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $11K | — | 76ers $613 |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Under $7.7K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $53 | — | Giants $8.3K |
| Spread: Broncos (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Broncos $6.0K | — | Panthers $2 |
| Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry | — | Nicolas Jarry $5.5K | — | Felipe Meligeni Alves $90 |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $2.7K | — | Saints $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Saints (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $442 | — | Browns $2.4K |
| Spread: Broncos (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $1.7K | — | Panthers $555 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $283 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Over $208 |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $61 | — | Eagles $638 |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $385 | — | Eagles $53 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers same side · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $59K | — | Broncos $38K |
| Rams vs. Commanders same side · consensus Rams | — | Rams $61K | — | Rams $25K |
| Spread: Saints (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $65K | — | Browns $19K |
| Giants vs. Eagles same side · consensus Giants | — | Eagles $60K | — | Eagles $12K |
| Texans vs. Chargers same side · consensus Chargers | — | Texans $37K | — | Texans $4.7K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) same side · consensus Chargers | — | Texans $37K | — | Texans $1.4K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20K | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968 |
| Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo same side · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | Stefan Kozlov $17K | — | Stefan Kozlov $3.2K |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Rams $3.5K | — | Rams $15K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.7K | — | Under $5.4K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.1K | — | Over $1.4K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.4K | — | Under $2.0K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $7.2K | — | Over $2.1K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8.0K | — | Over $164 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $597 | — | Over $6.0K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Cowboys $210 | — | Cowboys $4.3K |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | Rams $838 | — | Rams $2.6K |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $26 | — | Over $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $142 |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) same side · consensus Giants | — | Eagles $195 | — | Eagles $867 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand same side · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4 | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 |