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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| auros2 | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (32–0, n=32) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) | 48% (14167–15640, n=29807) | 50% (20646–20453, n=41099) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $4.8M | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (102 of 188 open) | 69% (52 of 75 open) | 63% (26 of 41 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.