Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Yes, while the market favors No (93%). 0 of 5 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Historically, consensus on sides priced under 40¢ lost money after costs.
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
5 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (100%) · Yes at 7.0¢ · $848 held · ends Jan 26, 2027
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Contrarian
Yes
5
Yes 100%
$848.11
$0
Smart Money Signal
5 of 5 top traders (100%)Underdog side (market favors No 93%)
Outcome Probabilities
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
7.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.4¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.