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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| auros2 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (38–0, n=38) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $3.7M | $4.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #259 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (134 of 214 open) | 69% (270 of 393 open) | 73% (62 of 85 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
42 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.