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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | xutuu | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (424–365, n=789) | 48% (483–517, n=1000) | 55% (372–304, n=676) | 83% (20–4, n=24) |
| Consensus PnL | $376K | $455K | $436K | $19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #89 | PM monthly #897 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (79 of 115 open) | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 51% (37 of 73 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | xutuu |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $46 | Hurricanes $33K | Kraken $57 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado opposite sides · consensus Colorado | Colorado $257 | Houston $5.7K | Colorado $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $3.5K | Colorado $871 | Houston $3.0K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | Over $3.4K | Under $202 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $938 | Colorado $3.6K | Houston $547 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | — | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $2.5K | — | Mavericks $89 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.5K | — | Vanderbilt $983 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | — | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $786 | Houston $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $393 | — | Auburn $373 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $62 | — | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | — | Indiana $911 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-9.5) same side · consensus Colorado | — | Houston $31 | Houston $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.3K | — | Browns $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.2K | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | Heat $46 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | — | Over $861 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | South Carolina $265 | — | South Carolina $546 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-8.5) same side · consensus Houston | Houston $483 | — | Houston $164 | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | BYU $291 | — | BYU $348 | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | Texas A&M $23 | — | Texas A&M $524 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $445 | — | Pelicans $93 | — |