Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorppleaseletmealoneRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)no settled market48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$104$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #542PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (286 of 374 open)67% (2 of 3 open)66% (114 of 173 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

79 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppleaseletmealoneRN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $928—Notre Dame $25K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $9.0K—Over $305
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.7K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $421—Over $4.7K
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.9K—Over $547
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8K—Over $17
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.0K—No $203
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2K—Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $416—Over $1.7K
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9K—Over $109
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino $1.7K—Jan Simonsson $4
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.7K—BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $2
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K—Yes $1
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
Willem II Tilburg $825—AZ $700
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $236
Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $953—Over $259
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Khaleej Saudi Club
Al Khaleej Saudi Club $1.2K—Al Riyadh Saudi Club $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524
FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Košice: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $886—Under $45
W50 Huamantla: Valeriya Strakhova vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
Valeriya Strakhova $109—Cadence Brace $799
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $874—Over $18
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $755—No $83
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $194—No $618
Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $596—Over $68
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $364—Yes $125
Will Pisa SC vs. Virtus Entella end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137—Yes $194
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $151—Over $2
Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Magdeburg $101—Hertha BSC $18
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton $12K—Ben Shelton $33K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $6.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Parma Calcio 1913
Parma Calcio 1913 $12K—Parma Calcio 1913 $2.6K
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $9.4K—No $4.8K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $12K—Knicks $2.0K
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-09-07?
same side · consensus No
No $7.6K—No $6.3K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11K—Yes $2.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $2.7K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $7.9K—Thunder $1.3K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
Iowa $3.8K—Iowa $5.2K
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $7.8K—No $439
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $5.6K