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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorppleaseletmealoneprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)no settled market49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$104$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #548PM monthly #54PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (105 of 164 open)48% (15 of 31 open)80% (4 of 5 open)62% (34 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppleaseletmealoneprimmRN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $965—Notre Dame $169KNotre Dame $62K
Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
——Notre Dame $210Miami (FL) $24K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Magic $3.4K——Warriors $770
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.5K——Over $39
Red Wings vs. Avalanche
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
Red Wings $44——Avalanche $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $41
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851——Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $23K——No $7.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: Michigan (-13.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State
——Michigan State $15KMichigan State $5
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Utah State
Utah State $4——Utah State $13K
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
——Notre Dame $52Notre Dame $4.2K
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7K——Under $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
Hawai'i $470——Hawai'i $561
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $29
Spread: Florida (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida
——Oklahoma $34Oklahoma $30