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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677pleaseletmealoneRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)no settled market48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$104$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #509PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (104 of 161 open)no open consensus position54% (19 of 35 open)59% (24 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677pleaseletmealoneRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $7.3K——Trail Blazers $118
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K——Over $597
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.4K——Trail Blazers $352
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851——Yes $326
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $951——Under $110
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Trail Blazers $64——Spurs $721
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Utah State
Utah State $4——Utah State $14K
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.5K——Under $76
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $655——Over $157
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $29