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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorppleaseletmealoneRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)no settled market48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$104$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #542PM monthly #37 + pinnedPM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus75% (239 of 318 open)33% (2 of 6 open)65% (110 of 169 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

74 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppleaseletmealoneRN1S-Works
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $965—Notre Dame $36K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.7K—Over $8—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $421—Over $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8K—Over $17—
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.1K—No $202—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
West Virginia $108—Texas Tech $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $416—Over $1.7K—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9K—Over $109—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.7K—BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $2—
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K—Yes $1—
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
Willem II Tilburg $825—AZ $700—
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $236—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $953—Over $259—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326—
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Khaleej Saudi Club
Al Khaleej Saudi Club $1.2K—Al Riyadh Saudi Club $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $277—Wizards $716—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $874—Over $18—
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $755—No $83—
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $194—No $618—
Sharks vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Stars $628—Sharks $139—
Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $596—Over $68—
Will Pisa SC vs. Virtus Entella end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137—Yes $194—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $151—Over $2—
Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Magdeburg $101—Hertha BSC $18—
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $29K—Thunder $1.3K—
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $6.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $14K—Knicks $2.2K—
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-09-07?
same side · consensus No
No $7.6K—No $6.3K—
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11K—Yes $2.2K—
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
Iowa $3.8K—Iowa $5.3K—
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
Suns $7.3K—Suns $1.4K—
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $5.6K—
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.8K—Under $567—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.1K—Under $1.2K—
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.1K—Under $550—
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $52—No $4.4K—
Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $1.9K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.1K—Under $276—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5K—Under $1.6K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Paris FC
Paris FC $2.3K—Paris FC $1.4K—