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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)50% (15433–15507, n=30940)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #59PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (164 of 228 open)56% (82 of 146 open)no open consensus position52% (15 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14KUnder $1.6K—Over $1.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez $34KZeynep Sonmez $4.1K—Zeynep Sonmez $88K
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
Ksenia Zaytseva $2.8KKsenia Zaytseva $28—Ksenia Zaytseva $5.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $2.7K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.4KUnder $2.2K——
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $77Yes $3.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $519Arthur Fils $1.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6KYes $16——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754——Yes $375
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $641Yes $424——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $583Yes $363——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831——Yes $61
W15 Monastir: Amarni Banks vs Marta Soriano Santiago
opposite sides · consensus Marta Soriano Santiago
Amarni Banks $80Marta Soriano Santiago $675——
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $514Under $207——
Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $677No $5——
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $546Yes $96——
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split $233Lincoln Red Imps FC $274——
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $70No $400——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $91Yes $360——
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $292Yes $70——
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $329Over $6——
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $301Yes $3——
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $287Yes $9——
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
—Carl Overbeck $215—Kasidit Samrej $35
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $176Yes $49——
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $119Max Hans Rehberg $83——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $119No $49——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $125Yes $38——
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $134Yes $2——
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Thunder
Sydney Thunder $76Perth Scorchers $28——
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $99——
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52Under $43——
Taranto: Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso
opposite sides · consensus Jay Clarke
Jay Clarke $5Gianluca Cadenasso $44——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $5BetBoom Team $26——
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
opposite sides · consensus BakS eSports
BakS eSports $5Honvéd $12——
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $5.5K——Anna Blinkova $41K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $1.3K——Mai Hontama $11K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2KNo $9.7K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $1.6KCarlos Alcaraz $5.3K——
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.1KNo $175——
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.3KYes $3——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.4KYes $216——