Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li

20 of 32 top Polymarket traders hold Anna Blinkova (63%) · Anna Blinkova at 100¢ · $115K held · ends Nov 12

Anna Blinkova>99¢Zongyu Li<1¢Ends Thu, Nov 12, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Anna Blinkova

Consensus Traders

Anna Blinkova 63%

Total Value

$115.5K

Combined PnL

$-7.5K

Smart Money Entry

92.1¢ → 100¢

+9% since entry · 20 traders

Research grade

NeutralAnna Blinkova at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Anna Blinkova

20 of 32 top traders (63%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Anna Blinkova100%

Zongyu Li0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Anna Blinkova20 traders

Total Value$114.1K

Total Shares115,062

Combined PnL$-2.1K

Zongyu Li12 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares89,272

Combined PnL$-5.4K

Anna Blinkova — 63%Zongyu Li — 37%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

14 traders

Top 2 hold 88%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

70% of non-arb traders are on Anna Blinkova. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 88% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleAnna Blinkova 50% · 6

Aligned

sharpAnna Blinkova 100% · 3

Aligned

ctrZongyu Li 55% · 11

Diverging

Hand-pickedAnna Blinkova 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Anna Blinkova 68% · 19

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Anna Blinkovaavg 93.5¢	$47.5K	$46.6K	-$909.33	53% 60992-53371 (114363)
FE ferrariChampions2026	Anna Blinkovaavg 93.8¢	$39.3K	$36.2K	$-3.1K	42% 7968-11158 (19126)
LI LightParadox	Anna Blinkovaavg 94¢	$13.7K	$14.2K	+$412.25	52% 1355-1274 (2629)
FL Flaznorp	Anna Blinkovaavg 83¢	$6.7K	$7.6K	+$929.22	51% 25630-24353 (49983)
EU Eulhunter	Anna Blinkovaavg 83.9¢	$2.6K	$2.7K	+$149.82	54% 6251-5315 (11566)
VE Venusian	Anna Blinkovaavg 82.7¢	$1.3K	$1.4K	+$112.04	51% 1362-1323 (2685)
NS NS13CTR	Zongyu Liavg 7.5¢	$6.6K	$1.3K	$-5.3K	52% 431-396 (827)
SE sentrio	Anna Blinkovaavg 75.3¢	$798.63	$1.0K	+$231.08	50% 25743-25431 (51174)
LI Limousin	Anna Blinkovaavg 83.6¢	$842.66	$918.75	+$76.09	53% 1400-1248 (2648)
MA MadridTime	Anna Blinkovaavg 80.3¢	$780.41	$869.36	+$88.95	50% 1301-1287 (2588)
38 38791873984189	Anna Blinkovaavg 85.5¢	$1.3K	$784.43	-$218.19	48% 60760-65418 (126178)
TH thestingsnake	Anna Blinkovaavg 80.7¢	$918.38	$577.76	+$41.06	60% 4415-2958 (7373)
VeryLucky888	Anna Blinkovaavg 89¢	$512.72	$497.41	+$40.05	58% 46330-33448 (79778)
0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18	Anna Blinkovaavg 99¢	$565.53	$444.15	+$18.25	65% 628-331 (959)
tradecraft<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 96.6¢	$96.61	$97.1	+$0.49	51% 6327-6110 (12437)
arjennnnn<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 90.1¢	$90.1	$97.1	+$7	70% 840-360 (1200)
BI BillBenter2026<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 89.7¢	$49.31	$53.41	+$4.1	57% 19233-14224 (33457)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 92.6¢	$24.64	$25.84	+$1.2	52% 14316-13079 (27395)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Zongyu Liavg 6.1¢	$35.18	$16.85	-$18.33	47% 11665-13338 (25003)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 89.3¢	$12.86	$13.97	+$1.12	52% 8742-7954 (16696)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 70¢	$7	$9.71	+$2.71	82% 7258-1601 (8859)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100	Zongyu Liavg 13.4¢	$8.3	$9.67	+$1.36	65% 5238-2862 (8100)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Zongyu Liavg 9¢	$92.09	$8.75	+$0.46	61% 14179-9156 (23335)
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100	Zongyu Liavg 8¢	$18.59	$6.74	-$11.85	51% 4750-4617 (9367)
DV dv-pmCTR<$100	Zongyu Liavg 10.4¢	$18.89	$5.42	-$13.47	49% 3323-3513 (6836)

RN1

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$47,523.08

Value

$46.6K

PnL

-$909.33

Record

53%

60992-53371 (114363)

ferrariChampions2026

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$39,265.84

Value

$36.2K

PnL

$-3.1K

Record

42%

7968-11158 (19126)

LightParadox

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$13,740.54

Value

$14.2K

PnL

+$412.25

Record

52%

1355-1274 (2629)

Flaznorp

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$6,720.24

Value

$7.6K

PnL

+$929.22

Record

51%

25630-24353 (49983)

Eulhunter

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$2,579.44

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$149.82

Record

54%

6251-5315 (11566)

Venusian

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$1,268.58

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$112.04

Record

51%

1362-1323 (2685)

NS13CTR

Zongyu Li

Invested

$6,561.65

Value

$1.3K

PnL

$-5.3K

Record

52%

431-396 (827)

sentrio

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$798.63

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$231.08

Record

50%

25743-25431 (51174)

Limousin

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$842.66

Value

$918.75

PnL

+$76.09

Record

53%

1400-1248 (2648)

MadridTime

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$780.41

Value

$869.36

PnL

+$88.95

Record

50%

1301-1287 (2588)

38791873984189

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$1,265.44

Value

$784.43

PnL

-$218.19

Record

48%

60760-65418 (126178)

thestingsnake

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$918.38

Value

$577.76

PnL

+$41.06

Record

60%

4415-2958 (7373)

VeryLucky888

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$512.72

Value

$497.41

PnL

+$40.05

Record

58%

46330-33448 (79778)

0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$565.53

Value

$444.15

PnL

+$18.25

Record

65%

628-331 (959)

tradecraft<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$96.61

Value

$97.1

PnL

+$0.49

Record

51%

6327-6110 (12437)

arjennnnn<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$90.1

Value

$97.1

PnL

+$7

Record

70%

840-360 (1200)

BillBenter2026<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$49.31

Value

$53.41

PnL

+$4.1

Record

57%

19233-14224 (33457)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$24.64

Value

$25.84

PnL

+$1.2

Record

52%

14316-13079 (27395)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Zongyu Li

Invested

$35.18

Value

$16.85

PnL

-$18.33

Record

47%

11665-13338 (25003)

ameisgoat11<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$12.86

Value

$13.97

PnL

+$1.12

Record

52%

8742-7954 (16696)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

Value

$9.71

PnL

+$2.71

Record

82%

7258-1601 (8859)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100

Zongyu Li

Invested

$8.3

Value

$9.67

PnL

+$1.36

Record

65%

5238-2862 (8100)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Zongyu Li

Invested

$92.09

Value

$8.75

PnL

+$0.46

Record

61%

14179-9156 (23335)

6512395314597884CTR<$100

Zongyu Li

Invested

$18.59

Value

$6.74

PnL

-$11.85

Record

51%

4750-4617 (9367)

dv-pmCTR<$100

Zongyu Li

Invested

$18.89

Value

$5.42

PnL

-$13.47

Record

49%

3323-3513 (6836)

Research grade

NeutralAnna Blinkova at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Anna Blinkova

20 of 32 top traders (63%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

14 traders

Top 2 hold 88%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

70% of non-arb traders are on Anna Blinkova. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 88% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleAnna Blinkova 50% · 6

Aligned

sharpAnna Blinkova 100% · 3

Aligned

ctrZongyu Li 55% · 11

Diverging

Hand-pickedAnna Blinkova 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Anna Blinkova 68% · 19

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Anna Blinkova wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.