Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Daniel Milavsky — but Max Hans Rehberg won instead.

Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg

Resolved Max Hans Rehberg. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Daniel Milavsky. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Daniel Milavsky 46%

6 arb excluded

Total Value

$39.4K

Combined PnL

$-3.6K

Smart Money Signal

Daniel Milavsky

13 of 27 top traders (48%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Daniel Milavsky0%

Max Hans Rehberg100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Max Hans Rehberg14 traders

Total Value$27.0K

Total Shares27,016

Combined PnL+$11.4K

Daniel Milavsky13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares31,121

Combined PnL$-15.0K

Max Hans Rehberg — 52%Daniel Milavsky — 48%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
65 6512395314597884	Max Hans Rehbergavg 51.7¢	$14.1K	$19.9K	+$7.0K	51% 4768-4629 (9397)
SU SunflowaRebuildYearCTR	Daniel Milavskyavg 42.2¢	$6.3K	—	$-6.3K	46% 431-512 (943)
LI LightParadoxARB<$100	Daniel Milavskyavg 45.9¢	$4.7K	$3.7K	-$924.96	52% 1380-1295 (2675)
└ Daniel Milavsky leg	Daniel Milavskyavg 45.9¢	$3.9K	—	$-3.9K
└ Max Hans Rehberg leg	Max Hans Rehbergavg 21.7¢	$811.94	$3.7K	+$2.9K
RN1ARB<$100	Max Hans Rehbergavg 56.5¢	$5.8K	$6.6K	+$831.42	53% 61372-53688 (115060)
└ Max Hans Rehberg leg	Max Hans Rehbergavg 56.5¢	$3.7K	$6.6K	+$2.9K
└ Daniel Milavsky leg	Daniel Milavskyavg 68.8¢	$2.0K	—	$-2.0K
0X 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816	Max Hans Rehbergavg 52¢	$2.7K	$5.1K	+$2.5K	50% 542-539 (1081)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Daniel Milavskyavg 49.9¢	$3.8K	—	$-3.8K	50% 1329-1304 (2633)
VE VenusianCTR	Daniel Milavskyavg 59.3¢	$3.4K	—	$-3.4K	51% 1384-1348 (2732)
LI LimousinARB<$100	Max Hans Rehbergavg 62.2¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$5.57	53% 1430-1268 (2698)
└ Max Hans Rehberg leg	Max Hans Rehbergavg 62.2¢	$948	$1.5K	+$575.99
└ Daniel Milavsky leg	Daniel Milavskyavg 48.4¢	$570.42	—	-$570.42
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100	Daniel Milavskyavg 35.1¢	$435.79	$165.97	-$281.86	50% 21182-21443 (42625)
└ Daniel Milavsky leg	Daniel Milavskyavg 35.1¢	$348.07	—	-$348.07
└ Max Hans Rehberg leg	Max Hans Rehbergavg 52.9¢	$87.72	$165.97	+$66.21
TH thestingsnakeCTR	Daniel Milavskyavg 49.6¢	$696.87	—	-$576.85	60% 4448-2971 (7419)
VI vibing123	Max Hans Rehbergavg 50.7¢	$369.03	$728	+$358.97	51% 1627-1537 (3164)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Daniel Milavskyavg 49¢	$116.13	—	-$574.24	51% 25760-24462 (50222)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	Max Hans Rehbergavg 49.2¢	$307.8	$625	+$317.2	54% 3464-3004 (6468)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Max Hans Rehbergavg 55.1¢	$189.05	$176.93	-$12.12	52% 14498-13182 (27680)
└ Max Hans Rehberg leg	Max Hans Rehbergavg 55.1¢	$97.44	$176.93	+$79.49
└ Daniel Milavsky leg	Daniel Milavskyavg 49.6¢	$91.61	—	-$91.61
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100	Daniel Milavskyavg 55.1¢	$450.7	$142.97	-$112.65	53% 791-708 (1499)
└ Daniel Milavsky leg	Daniel Milavskyavg 55.1¢	$125.96	—	-$163.87
└ Max Hans Rehberg leg	Max Hans Rehbergavg 66.3¢	$94.74	$142.97	+$51.22
VeryLucky888	Max Hans Rehbergavg 52¢	$434.27	$263.98	+$116.15	58% 46700-33657 (80357)
EU EulhunterCTR	Daniel Milavskyavg 47¢	$472	—	-$221.82	54% 6283-5341 (11624)
PA Paul973973	Max Hans Rehbergavg 92.4¢	$200.8	$217.39	+$16.59	88% 1040-136 (1176)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Daniel Milavskyavg 49.4¢	$39.38	—	-$39.38	61% 14367-9292 (23659)
RollAwayTheDew<$100	Max Hans Rehbergavg 52.2¢	$48.59	$93	+$44.41	54% 521-445 (966)
0xheavy888CTR<$100	Daniel Milavskyavg 50¢	$38.14	—	-$38.14	56% 7916-6324 (14240)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Daniel Milavskyavg 49¢	$30.89	—	-$30.89	50% 25827-25531 (51358)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Max Hans Rehbergavg 39.6¢	$10.19	$25.7	+$15.51	47% 11713-13434 (25147)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Max Hans Rehbergavg 29.6¢	$17.38	$22.78	+$20.4	65% 5275-2893 (8168)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100	Daniel Milavskyavg 49¢	$9.65	—	-$9.65	53% 2579-2259 (4838)

6512395314597884

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$14,117.17

Value

$19.9K

PnL

+$7.0K

Record

51%

4768-4629 (9397)

SunflowaRebuildYearCTR

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$6,331.43

Value

—

PnL

$-6.3K

Record

46%

431-512 (943)

LightParadoxARB<$100

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$4,662.25

Value

$3.7K

PnL

-$924.96

Record

52%

1380-1295 (2675)

Both legs:

Daniel Milavsky$3,850.3145.9¢$-3.9K

Max Hans Rehberg$811.9421.7¢+$2.9K

RN1ARB<$100

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$5,778.43

Value

$6.6K

PnL

+$831.42

Record

53%

61372-53688 (115060)

Both legs:

Max Hans Rehberg$3,731.3256.5¢+$2.9K

Daniel Milavsky$2,047.168.8¢$-2.0K

0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$2,652.2

Value

$5.1K

PnL

+$2.5K

Record

50%

542-539 (1081)

MadridTimeCTR

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$3,789.38

Value

—

PnL

$-3.8K

Record

50%

1329-1304 (2633)

VenusianCTR

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$3,421.05

Value

—

PnL

$-3.4K

Record

51%

1384-1348 (2732)

LimousinARB<$100

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$1,518.41

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$5.57

Record

53%

1430-1268 (2698)

Both legs:

Max Hans Rehberg$94862.2¢+$575.99

Daniel Milavsky$570.4248.4¢-$570.42

omnibus-076daaARB<$100

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$435.79

Value

$165.97

PnL

-$281.86

Record

50%

21182-21443 (42625)

Both legs:

Daniel Milavsky$348.0735.1¢-$348.07

Max Hans Rehberg$87.7252.9¢+$66.21

thestingsnakeCTR

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$696.87

Value

—

PnL

-$576.85

Record

60%

4448-2971 (7419)

vibing123

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$369.03

Value

$728

PnL

+$358.97

Record

51%

1627-1537 (3164)

FlaznorpCTR

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$116.13

Value

—

PnL

-$574.24

Record

51%

25760-24462 (50222)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$307.8

Value

$625

PnL

+$317.2

Record

54%

3464-3004 (6468)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$189.05

Value

$176.93

PnL

-$12.12

Record

52%

14498-13182 (27680)

Both legs:

Max Hans Rehberg$97.4455.1¢+$79.49

Daniel Milavsky$91.6149.6¢-$91.61

1lovejumpARB<$100

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$450.7

Value

$142.97

PnL

-$112.65

Record

53%

791-708 (1499)

Both legs:

Daniel Milavsky$125.9655.1¢-$163.87

Max Hans Rehberg$94.7466.3¢+$51.22

VeryLucky888

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$434.27

Value

$263.98

PnL

+$116.15

Record

58%

46700-33657 (80357)

EulhunterCTR

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$472

Value

—

PnL

-$221.82

Record

54%

6283-5341 (11624)

Paul973973

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$200.8

Value

$217.39

PnL

+$16.59

Record

88%

1040-136 (1176)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$39.38

Value

—

PnL

-$39.38

Record

61%

14367-9292 (23659)

RollAwayTheDew<$100

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$48.59

Value

$93

PnL

+$44.41

Record

54%

521-445 (966)

0xheavy888CTR<$100

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$38.14

Value

—

PnL

-$38.14

Record

56%

7916-6324 (14240)

sentrioCTR<$100

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$30.89

Value

—

PnL

-$30.89

Record

50%

25827-25531 (51358)

topdogbigboi<$100

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$10.19

Value

$25.7

PnL

+$15.51

Record

47%

11713-13434 (25147)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Max Hans Rehberg

Invested

$17.38

Value

$22.78

PnL

+$20.4

Record

65%

5275-2893 (8168)

rayvanmechelenCTR<$100

Daniel Milavsky

Invested

$9.65

Value

—

PnL

-$9.65

Record

53%

2579-2259 (4838)

Smart Money Signal

Daniel Milavsky

13 of 27 top traders (48%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3f4a70da...e655f2

Slug

atp-milavsk-rehberg-2026-11-05

Traders in this Market

6512395314597884

Max Hans Rehberg — $19.9K

SunflowaRebuildYear

Daniel Milavsky — $0

LightParadox

Arbitrage — excluded

RN1

Arbitrage — excluded

0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816

Max Hans Rehberg — $5.1K

MadridTime

Daniel Milavsky — $0

Venusian

Daniel Milavsky — $0

Limousin

Arbitrage — excluded

omnibus-076daa

Arbitrage — excluded

thestingsnake

Daniel Milavsky — $0