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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | nigiri99 | sashasasha5 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (3052–1278, n=4330) | 53% (568–497, n=1065) | 49% (21–22, n=43) | 90% (19–2, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $539K | $613K | $15K | $531K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #76 | PM monthly #935 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (97 of 182 open) | 59% (47 of 80 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=653 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 5% of 566) | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 7% (won 100% of 2) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 38% of 335) | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 34% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 157) | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 28% (won 100% of 8) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 326) | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 31% (won 100% of 9) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | sashasasha5 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $11 | 49ers $95K | — | Cowboys $204 |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $1.4K | — | Cowboys $5.4K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $161 | Over $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $4 | Raptors $5.4K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $30 | Under $1.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $138 | Raptors $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Mavericks $135 | Celtics $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $854 | Celtics $285 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $410 | Under $647 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $101 | Lakers $548 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $405 | Jazz $64 | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Wizards $182 | Rockets $90 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | Over $177 | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $584 | — | — | Seahawks $46K |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $5.2K | Celtics $39K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $548 | Raptors $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $143 | Mavericks $11K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $368 | Under $3.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Jazz $1.5K | Jazz $638 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | Under $211 | — | — |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | Team Spirit $3 | Team Spirit $1.1K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $796 | Under $294 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $404 | Under $472 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $22 | Celtics $571 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $305 | Under $192 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-16.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $244 | Celtics $154 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Spurs $187 | Spurs $199 | — | — |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers same side · consensus Pacific Tigers | Air Force Falcons $15 | Air Force Falcons $50 | — | — |