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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1pxlzRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)0% (0–3, n=3)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$50K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #93PM monthly #612PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (176 of 239 open)72% (67 of 93 open)50% (1 of 2 open)45% (54 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%0% of 3 at avg 4¢, ROI −1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)100% (won 0% of 3)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)0%35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1pxlzRN1
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
Kentucky $2——Tennessee $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Will Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.1K——Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.0K——No $198
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K——Yes $1
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $2.7K——Knicks $189
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United FC $2.5K——Fulham FC $48
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Under $262
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $67——Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57——Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino $1.8K——Jan Simonsson $7
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $1.1K——Warriors $635
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Under $17
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $256——Wizards $720
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $245——Yes $715
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $301——Over $135
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $8
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $23K——Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20K——No $6.7K
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $16K——Over $5.0K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $985No $18K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $7.2K——Thiago Seyboth Wild $8.3K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $12K——Knicks $2.0K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11K——Yes $2.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K——Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
Iowa $3.8K——Iowa $5.2K
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $3.4K——Thunder $1.3K
Air Force vs. Army
same side · consensus Army
Air Force $30——Air Force $4.5K
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
Suns $2.3K——Suns $330
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1K——Under $257
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $2.0K——Nets $262
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $124——No $1.5K
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $241
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
same side · consensus No
No $421——No $299
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $485——Over $60
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $465——Under $6
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $129——Over $253
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1