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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1Sniper85
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)83% (5–1, n=6)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #931
Sides with the consensus68% (266 of 389 open)73% (62 of 85 open)61% (51 of 83 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 5 at avg 62¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)40% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)40% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1Sniper85
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
Noma Noha Akugue $589—Sofya Lansere $24K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17KUnder $6.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.7K—Yes $287—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.4K—Robin Montgomery $256—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.4K—No $46—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $635—Magda Linette $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1—Over $2.5K—
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $274—No $1.8K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8K—No $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $683—No $337—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $36—Yes $309—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $248—Over $11—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $24—Under $2—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $81K—No $36K—
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
Jerome Kym $1.7K—Jerome Kym $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $1.2K—Toby Samuel $15K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.7K—Under $4.5K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $9.6K—Under $1.3K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.5K—Yes $1.4K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.4K—Over $2.6K—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.2K—No $20—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $3.5K—
Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.4K—Over $1.5K—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K—No $73—
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $938—No $3.3K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.0K—Under $25—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Under $1.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
same side · consensus Inaki Montes
Inaki Montes $879—Inaki Montes $1.3K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $934—Under $824—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Under $10—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $249—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $584—No $250—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $642—Under $64—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $371—Jurij Rodionov $314—
Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 1 - 2 Frosinone Calcio?
same side · consensus No
No $305—No $181—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
FC Slovan Liberec vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $108—Under $279—