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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99PuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)71% (2092–854, n=2946)48% (503–539, n=1042)55% (392–321, n=713)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$387K$462K$426K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #21PM monthly #104PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus51% (144 of 280 open)61% (20 of 33 open)43% (29 of 67 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 37% of 79)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)24% (won 59% of 138)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)43% (won 72% of 243)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)19% (won 98% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99PuckaBegemota
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $67FURIA $10KTeam Falcons $609—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $34KKraken $51—
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $3.3KNorway $15K——
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3KUnder $15K——
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.0K—Yes $346—
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $926Under $4.9K——
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.4KDenmark $4.0K——
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.4KUnder $200—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6K—Yes $1.3K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $489Kentucky $916——
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $916—Yes $374—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
opposite sides · consensus Alex Marti Pujolras
Alex Marti Pujolras $1.0KRaffaele Ciurnelli $23——
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
Duke $356Miami (FL) $145——
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $438—Over $11—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $103—Under $74—
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro $100BakS eSports $31——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $7.0KTaylor Fritz $72K——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.4K——
Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5K—Yes $98—
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
No $700No $52——
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6—Georgia State $520—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $399—Heat $47—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
No $219No $71——
M15 Roldan: Juan Estevez vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Juan Estevez
Juan Estevez $158Juan Estevez $125——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
Lumbini Lions $19Lumbini Lions $25——
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $14——
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $3—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
Royal Desert Champions $2Royal Desert Champions $1——