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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)72% (2002–786, n=2788)no settled market48% (473–506, n=979)63% (48–28, n=76)
Consensus PnL$395K$0$437K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #843PM monthly #21PM monthly #12 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (106 of 178 open)no open consensus position52% (35 of 67 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—6% (won 100% of 19)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—37% (won 100% of 110)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—50% (won 100% of 150)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—7% (won 100% of 22)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K—Over $6.7K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $3.5KThunder $3.8K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $121—Over $4.9K—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $1.2K—Clippers $2.3K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K—Under $418—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $1.6K—Clippers $1.3K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $848—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.8K—Over $58—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Over $21—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $1.1K—Clippers $160—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $203—Thunder $465—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $493—Over $81—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $306—Kings $88—
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Predators
Golden Knights $68—Predators $309—
Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Predators
Predators $138—Golden Knights $7—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $32—
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $257—Clippers $16K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.1K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 209.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $298—Under $7.1K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $211—Under $2.9K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9K—Over $29—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $1.7K—Trail Blazers $23—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $1—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $1.1K—Trail Blazers $281—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $967—Under $7—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $536—Under $290—
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $55—Under $421—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $14—Over $237—
W75 Brisbane: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Carol Young Suh Lee
same side · consensus Carol Young Suh Lee
Zhuoxuan Bai $4—Zhuoxuan Bai $120—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $78—Predators $3—