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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (3024–1268, n=4292) | 52% (594–553, n=1147) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $518K | $398K | -$1.5K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #10 | was PM monthly #684 | PM monthly #44 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (172 of 298 open) | 70% (72 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $16 | 49ers $25K | — | Cowboys $283 |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $624 | Seahawks $20K | — | Seahawks $58K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $11 | Under $12K | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $7.2K | — | Cowboys $239 |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | Under $5.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Mavericks $145 | Celtics $4.5K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $809 | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Raptors $390 | Knicks $2.7K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $53 | Over $1.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $871 | Suns $174 | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Bucks $165 | Hawks $532 | — | — |
| San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico State Aggies opposite sides · consensus San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico State Aggies $3 | San Diego State Aztecs $681 | — | — |
| Spread: James Madison Dukes (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Mercyhurst Lakers | James Madison Dukes $34 | Mercyhurst Lakers $552 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $140 | Raptors $438 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $202 | Lakers $63 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $176 | Jazz $70 | — | — |
| Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns opposite sides · consensus Texas Longhorns | Texas Longhorns $45 | Baylor Bears $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | Missouri Tigers $25 | Marquette Golden Eagles $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5) opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers | Wisconsin Badgers $4 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $755 | Under $8.2K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $835 | Under $7.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Spurs $4 | Spurs $5.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $300 | — | Seahawks $4.2K |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $125 | Suns $4.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-9.5) same side · consensus Wizards | Rockets $341 | Rockets $2.3K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $75 | Suns $2.0K | — | — |
| High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens same side · consensus High Point Panthers | High Point Panthers $1.7K | High Point Panthers $309 | — | — |
| Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 141.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $24 | Over $954 | — | — |
| Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5) same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes | Creighton Bluejays $217 | Creighton Bluejays $324 | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) same side · consensus Wizards | Rockets $138 | Rockets $273 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $23 | Celtics $82 | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Bucks $4 | Bucks $78 | — | — |