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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000
Record (consensus markets)71% (2750–1138, n=3888)52% (560–514, n=1074)48% (641–685, n=1326)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$518K$410K$564K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #18was PM monthly #568
Sides with the consensus52% (62 of 119 open)65% (51 of 79 open)47% (21 of 45 open)0% (0 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564———
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 23)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)34% (won 100% of 145)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)52% (won 100% of 219)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 100% of 35)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
Nevada Wolf Pack $12Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Flames $225Flames $3.6KKings $7—
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $258Texas $380K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K——
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KOver $843—
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7K—Nitin Kumar Sinha $157—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $4.7KLSU $23—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
New Mexico Lobos $165—Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K—
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K—Utah Valley Wolverines $1.7K—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.3KHawai'i $676—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.2KIslanders $1.6K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $651Under $996—
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 152.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $142——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $19K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.4KOver $128—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $779—Texas Tech $3.6K—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $4—
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $627Utah $2.4K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Arizona
Arizona $30Arizona $3.0K——
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
same side · consensus Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings $818—Sydney Kings $396—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $13Under $1.0K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 166.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $32Under $997——
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $42—Over $705—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Renegades $336—Melbourne Renegades $42—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
Kings $37—Kings $50—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 164.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $28Over $45——