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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorphell0pia
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)59% (71–49, n=120)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$116K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)59% (48 of 82 open)71% (117 of 164 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NBA −32 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%60% of 119 at avg 58¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)18% (won 29% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)12% (won 50% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)36% (won 63% of 43)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)34% (won 76% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorphell0pia
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142KBulls $11K76ers $764—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $19KColts $63—
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $369KTexans $37K——
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190KEagles $60K——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $107KTexans $37K——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $210——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53——
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $61KCommanders $320—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K—No $29K—
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $13KPatriots $26K——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $863—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $14K——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $20KClippers $7—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $195——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $229Patriots $10K——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8.0KUnder $389—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $5.2KHeat $298—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $2.7K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $80—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4Calvin Hemery $973—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $400—76ers $493—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $67KGiants $61——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $59KBroncos $1.4K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $49KLinda Noskova $2.8K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $17KStefan Kozlov $6.5K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14K—Bulls $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7.2KOver $1.1K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $4.4KChargers $6——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $107—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $118Under $297—