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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 51% (28265–27298, n=55563) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $1.9M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 71% (92 of 129 open) | 64% (47 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | Under $20K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $7.6K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.2K | Yes $752 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $686 | No $929 |
| Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai | — | Sho Katayama $75 | Shintaro Imai $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $596 | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $67 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $328 | Yes $6 |
| Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $30 | No $200 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $118 | Over $54 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $32 | No $62 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $51 | Under $12 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $71K | Coco Gauff $3.1K | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Renta Tokuda | — | Keisuke Saitoh $31K | Keisuke Saitoh $4.0K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Under $1.5K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $22 | — | Yes $3.9K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.7K | No $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $859 | Under $2.0K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | No $118 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.0K | Yes $153 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $754 | Yes $279 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $412 | Under $606 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $872 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $956 | Over $7 |
| FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $161 | Over $215 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $185 | No $35 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $112 | Yes $79 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $112 | Yes $52 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $83 | Yes $64 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | — | CD Pamplona $131 | CD Pamplona $6 |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $48 | Over $5 |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $7 | No $23 |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $18 | No $6 |