Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
8 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Shintaro Imai (62%) · Shintaro Imai at 100¢ · $12K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
13
Shintaro Imai 62%
$12.5K
-$598.16
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OM omnibus-076daa | Shintaro Imaiavg 91.8¢ | $8.1K | $7.6K | -$0.34 | 50% 23521-23532 (47053) |
MA MadridTime | Shintaro Imaiavg 92.5¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$118.31 | 47% 2196-2511 (4707) |
FL Flaznorp | Shintaro Imaiavg 92.4¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$101.87 | 52% 47498-44700 (92198) |
LI LightParadox | Shintaro Imaiavg 93.3¢ | $1.1K | $990.64 | -$75.21 | 47% 2266-2532 (4798) |
LI Limousin | Shintaro Imaiavg 89.5¢ | $461.1 | $505.46 | +$44.36 | 48% 2283-2446 (4729) |
TH thestingsnake | Shintaro Imaiavg 92.4¢ | $319.35 | $344.83 | +$25.48 | 60% 4601-3105 (7706) |
EU Eulhunter<$100 | Shintaro Imaiavg 93¢ | $15.86 | $16.99 | +$1.13 | 53% 6781-5933 (12714) |
VE VenusianCTR | Sho Katayamaavg 7.1¢ | $218.15 | $15.43 | -$202.71 | 47% 2268-2572 (4840) |
SC SchruteBucks<$100 | Shintaro Imaiavg 95.2¢ | $11.26 | $10.99 | -$0.26 | 56% 1973-1533 (3506) |
SE sentrioCTR | Sho Katayamaavg 8¢ | $153.29 | $9.96 | -$2.3 | 50% 27997-27469 (55466) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Sho Katayamaavg 0.1¢ | $1.17 | $5.87 | +$4.7 | 53% 70327-61884 (132211) |
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR | Sho Katayamaavg 8.2¢ | $613.24 | $3.74 | -$609.5 | 46% 33444-38932 (72376) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Sho Katayamaavg 7.7¢ | $3.7 | $0.02 | -$3.68 | 54% 10229-8705 (18934) |
Invested
$8,086.34
Value
$7.6K
PnL
-$0.34
Record
50%
23521-23532 (47053)
Invested
$1,479.21
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$118.31
Record
47%
2196-2511 (4707)
Invested
$1,253.77
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$101.87
Record
52%
47498-44700 (92198)
Invested
$1,065.85
Value
$990.64
PnL
-$75.21
Record
47%
2266-2532 (4798)
Invested
$461.1
Value
$505.46
PnL
+$44.36
Record
48%
2283-2446 (4729)
Invested
$319.35
Value
$344.83
PnL
+$25.48
Record
60%
4601-3105 (7706)
Invested
$15.86
Value
$16.99
PnL
+$1.13
Record
53%
6781-5933 (12714)
Invested
$218.15
Value
$15.43
PnL
-$202.71
Record
47%
2268-2572 (4840)
Invested
$11.26
Value
$10.99
PnL
-$0.26
Record
56%
1973-1533 (3506)
Invested
$153.29
Value
$9.96
PnL
-$2.3
Record
50%
27997-27469 (55466)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$1.17
Value
$5.87
PnL
+$4.7
Record
53%
70327-61884 (132211)
Invested
$613.24
Value
$3.74
PnL
-$609.5
Record
46%
33444-38932 (72376)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
$0.02
PnL
-$3.68
Record
54%
10229-8705 (18934)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
omnibus-076daa
Shintaro Imai — $7.6K
MadridTime
Shintaro Imai — $1.6K
Flaznorp
Shintaro Imai — $1.4K
LightParadox
Shintaro Imai — $990.64
Limousin
Shintaro Imai — $505.46
thestingsnake
Shintaro Imai — $344.83
Eulhunter
Shintaro Imai — $16.99
Venusian
CTRSho Katayama — $15.43
SchruteBucks
Shintaro Imai — $10.99
sentrio
CTRSho Katayama — $9.96