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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | claudionetotrader | Flaznorp | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 58% (1072–790, n=1862) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 50% (15072–15093, n=30165) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $86K | $3.3M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #726 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #54 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (210 of 336 open) | 53% (93 of 175 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 29% (won 12% of 428) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 10% (won 37% of 155) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 14% (won 75% of 214) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 47% (won 97% of 694) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
53 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | claudionetotrader | Flaznorp | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF | — | — | Real Madrid CF $24K | AEK $4.7K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $8.7K | Under $15K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $12K | Under $9 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.6K | — | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | — | Arthur Fils $2.6K | Tomas Machac $3.1K |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $2.2K |
| M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot | — | — | Henri Haupt $886 | Alexandre Aubriot $2.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | Yes $5 |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.7K | Yes $10 |
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.6K | No $55 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | — | Yes $149 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov opposite sides · consensus Nuno Borges | — | — | Nuno Borges $901 | Karen Khachanov $172 |
| M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim | — | — | Ignacio Parisca $298 | Eric Vanshelboim $653 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $380 | Yes $508 |
| Will Al Wahda FC (UAE) win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $822 | Yes $6 |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $89 | Yes $691 |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson | — | — | Laura Samson $554 | Carole Monnet $202 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $551 | Under $196 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $504 | Grizzlies $3 |
| Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $315 | No $147 |
| Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $387 | Yes $23 |
| M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo | — | — | Tomas Curras Abasolo $341 | Robert Guna $24 |
| Charlottesville: Liam Draxl vs Maks Kasnikowski opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski | — | — | Maks Kasnikowski $296 | Liam Draxl $31 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $291 | No $8 |
| W15 Monastir: Serena Paris vs Sara Husar opposite sides · consensus Sara Husar | — | — | Serena Paris $4 | Sara Husar $274 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | — | Cavaliers $12 | Thunder $260 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $143 | Over $28 |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $137 | Yes $6 |
| Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo | — | — | CR Flamengo $121 | Grêmio FBPA $4 |
| W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Angelica Raggi opposite sides · consensus Angelica Raggi | — | — | Angelica Raggi $49 | Angela Fita Boluda $75 |
| CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $52 | Under $43 |
| M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Liam Krall vs Henry Lieberman opposite sides · consensus Henry Lieberman | — | — | Liam Krall $6 | Henry Lieberman $41 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $22K | — | — | Yes $117 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $18K | — | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.7K | No $11K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | Yes $215 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Under $1.6K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $7.1K | No $1.7K |
| Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker | — | — | Nicolas Kicker $6.3K | Nicolas Kicker $766 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev | — | — | Daniil Medvedev $5.5K | Daniil Medvedev $1.2K |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $6.1K | Yes $33 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.3K | Over $29 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2.4K | Yes $1.8K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2.5K | Yes $648 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | — | Yes $69 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | — | — | Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K | Juan Bautista Torres $221 |
| M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi | — | — | Giannicola Misasi $69 | Giannicola Misasi $1.7K |
| Cali: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Luisina Giovannini same side · consensus Luisina Giovannini | — | — | Luisina Giovannini $1.6K | Luisina Giovannini $116 |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.4K | No $12 |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | No $1 |