Consensus PnL $89K · win rate 58% (1068–772, n=1840) · PM monthly #657 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$89.0K
Record
1068W / 772L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 1840 settled
Batting Avg
69.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1326
Source
PM monthly #657
Record (90 d)
769/1141 · 67%
Trades
62,543
Markets
2,741
Volume
$4.0M
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATheMongolz $75 · now 90¢ · in at 49¢with the consensus (52% of 68)
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?No $25 · now 53¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (20% of 20)
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?Yes $25 · now 78¢ · in at 77¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
1,480 settled consensus markets · held side won 63% at an average entry of 58¢- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 63% of 1355 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +3%
- Esports
+7 pts
side won 60% of 121 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 11% of 424)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 37% of 155)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 75% of 210)
- 70¢ and up: 47%(won 97% of 691)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.