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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpqinlaobanRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)49% (538–561, n=1099)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$63K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #926PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (34 of 42 open)75% (235 of 313 open)50% (1 of 2 open)55% (74 of 135 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)48% (won 99% of 238)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)52% (won 99% of 262)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

63 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpqinlaobanRN1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $59KYes $286Yes $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.9K—No $3.7K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Over $53
Will AZ win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.7K—Yes $4.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $835—No $5.2K
Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.3K—Yes $1.9K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Under $2.3K
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.8K—Yes $1
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.8K—Under $10
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.1K—Yes $128
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.9K—No $336
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $845—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
—Aston Villa FC $3.1K—Manchester United FC $42
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Under $5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $25
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.0K—Over $205
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $5
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3K—Over $150
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4K—Yes $54
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 0 1. FC Union Berlin?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $64—No $1.2K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Under $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $444—Yes $36
Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $438—Yes $2
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $126—No $271
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $234—Yes $45
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $88—Yes $47
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $40—Under $7
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $51K—No $4.8K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $39K—No $13K
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
—Justin Boulais $4.3K—Justin Boulais $37K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $27K—No $8.7K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
—Aston Villa FC $18K—Aston Villa FC $973
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12K—Yes $6.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $12K—Over $4.3K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $13K—Over $1.9K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.0K—Yes $1.9K
Will PSV win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.1K—Yes $1.4K
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Groningen
—FC Groningen $4.3K—FC Groningen $6.1K
Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4.1K—Yes $5.8K
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.1K—No $2.1K