Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorphgawxRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)68% (56–26, n=82)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$11K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #990PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus91% (30 of 33 open)75% (176 of 236 open)100% (1 of 1 open)45% (52 of 115 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%79% of 68 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)56% (won 79% of 38)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)43% (won 79% of 29)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)1% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorphgawxRN1
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $4.0KUnder $264
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $272K——Nuggets $236
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Kentucky $2—Tennessee $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.1K—Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.8K—No $195
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $2.7K—Knicks $188
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC
—Newcastle United FC $2.5K—Fulham FC $48
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $67—Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $57—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $1.8K—Jan Simonsson $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $256—Wizards $720
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $245—Yes $715
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $8
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $23K—Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $6.7K
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $16K—Over $5.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $7.2K—Thiago Seyboth Wild $8.3K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $12K—Knicks $1.8K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $11K—Yes $2.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
—Iowa $3.8K—Iowa $5.2K
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $3.4K—Thunder $1.3K
Air Force vs. Army
same side · consensus Army
—Air Force $30—Air Force $4.4K
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1K—Under $257
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $1.9K—Nets $264
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
—Suns $1.8K—Suns $84
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $124—No $1.5K
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $240
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $421—No $299
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $495—Over $61
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $465—Under $6
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $129—Over $253
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $115—Under $113
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Magic $122—Magic $39
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $87—Maple Leafs $21