Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Warriors β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Warriors

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
Resolved Warriors. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Warriors. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Warriors 69%
1 arb excluded
$13.4K
$5.4K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Warriorsavg 45Β’ | $2.0K | $4.3K | +$2.4K | 46% 1795-2102 (3897) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Warriorsavg 61.2Β’ | $2.4K | $3.9K | +$1.5K | 54% 18557-15589 (34146) |
65 6512395314597884 | Warriorsavg 48.1Β’ | $1.1K | $1.5K | +$452.75 | 51% 5014-4884 (9898) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Warriorsavg 41Β’ | $968.64 | $1.3K | +$315.44 | 50% 4741-4676 (9417) |
TA takeormake | Warriorsavg 49.1Β’ | $663.75 | $1.2K | +$545.58 | 52% 5134-4713 (9847) |
FO forecastication4 | Warriorsavg 62Β’ | $301.32 | $486 | +$184.68 | 50% 1423-1429 (2852) |
38 38791873984189 | Warriorsavg 55.5Β’ | $710.92 | $390 | +$107.01 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Warriorsavg 39.4Β’ | $60.6 | $154 | +$93.4 | 58% 3248-2345 (5593) |
CI cigarettesARB<$100 | Warriorsavg 42Β’ | $71.86 | $100 | +$28.14 | 50% 59994-58808 (118802) |
| β Warriors leg | Warriorsavg 42Β’ | $42 | $100 | +$58 | |
| β Magic leg | Magicavg 26.6Β’ | $29.86 | β | -$29.86 | |
![]() Malfunction.<$100 | Warriorsavg 99.9Β’ | $75.35 | $75.43 | +$0.08 | 96% 12679-576 (13255) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Magicavg 41Β’ | $120.95 | β | -$120.95 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Magicavg 44.6Β’ | $114.26 | β | -$31.46 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
BI biying99999CTR<$100 | Magicavg 39Β’ | $19.35 | β | -$19.35 | 49% 146-152 (298) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Magicavg 43.2Β’ | $12.97 | β | -$12.97 | 50% 1850-1866 (3716) |
Invested
$1,958.31
Value
$4.3K
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
46%
1795-2102 (3897)
Invested
$2,398.47
Value
$3.9K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
54%
18557-15589 (34146)
Invested
$1,065.19
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$452.75
Record
51%
5014-4884 (9898)
Invested
$968.64
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$315.44
Record
50%
4741-4676 (9417)
Invested
$663.75
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$545.58
Record
52%
5134-4713 (9847)
Invested
$301.32
Value
$486
PnL
+$184.68
Record
50%
1423-1429 (2852)
Invested
$710.92
Value
$390
PnL
+$107.01
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$60.6
Value
$154
PnL
+$93.4
Record
58%
3248-2345 (5593)
Invested
$71.86
Value
$100
PnL
+$28.14
Record
50%
59994-58808 (118802)
Both legs:
Malfunction.<$100Invested
$75.35
Value
$75.43
PnL
+$0.08
Record
96%
12679-576 (13255)
Invested
$120.95
Value
β
PnL
-$120.95
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Invested
$114.26
Value
β
PnL
-$31.46
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
Invested
$19.35
Value
β
PnL
-$19.35
Record
49%
146-152 (298)
Invested
$12.97
Value
β
PnL
-$12.97
Record
50%
1850-1866 (3716)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Warriors β $4.3K
HomeRunHazard
Warriors β $3.9K
6512395314597884
Warriors β $1.5K
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Warriors β $1.3K
takeormake
Warriors β $1.2K
forecastication4
Warriors β $486
38791873984189
Warriors β $390
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Warriors β $154
cigarettes
ARBArbitrage β excluded

Malfunction.
Warriors β $75.43