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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | DavidShekel | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 68% (373–174, n=547) | 53% (5923–5296, n=11219) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $169K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #360 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 67% (207 of 310 open) | 69% (124 of 179 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −7 pts, n=17 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 24% (won 19% of 129) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 74% of 31) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 16% (won 90% of 86) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 55% (won 99% of 297) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
42 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | DavidShekel | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint | — | — | Maria Sakkari $3.0K | Maya Joint $12K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $6.1K | No $3.3K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.3K | Over $11 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev | — | — | Daniil Medvedev $2.6K | Ignacio Buse $414 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa | — | — | Sarah Van Emst $210 | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $210 | No $663 |
| W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric | — | — | Tena Lukas $2 | Pia Lovric $250 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $47 | Over $48 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $39K | Under $45 |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $26K | No $9.8K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | — | — | Learner Tien $11K | Learner Tien $16K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $17K | Under $6.0K |
| Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5) same side · consensus Buriram United | — | — | Buriram United $13K | Buriram United $2.9K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.1K | Over $7.8K |
| Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $8.4K | No $3.9K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.9K | Under $1.9K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.1K | Under $1.5K |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.1K | No $1.5K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.2K | Under $4.4K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.1K | No $1.5K |
| Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme | — | — | Jeline Vandromme $4.3K | Jeline Vandromme $679 |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.1K | Under $2.2K |
| M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez same side · consensus Samuele Pieri | — | — | Samuele Pieri $2.1K | Samuele Pieri $1.6K |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel same side · consensus Gina Feistel | — | — | Gina Feistel $1.6K | Gina Feistel $1.7K |
| Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka same side · consensus Martyna Kubka | — | — | Martyna Kubka $190 | Martyna Kubka $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42 | No $1.3K |
| Kashima Antlers leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.0K | No $237 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $784 | 76ers $243 |
| M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot | — | — | Henri Haupt $864 | Henri Haupt $54 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov | — | — | Iliyan Radulov $139 | Iliyan Radulov $612 |
| Exact Score: Buriram United 0 - 0 Kashima Antlers? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $474 | No $272 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $720 | Under $20 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $645 | Under $56 |
| M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca | — | — | Ignacio Parisca $320 | Ignacio Parisca $302 |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $563 | Under $23 |
| M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht | — | — | Leonid Sheyngezikht $140 | Leonid Sheyngezikht $384 |
| M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas | — | — | Pavlos Tsitsipas $456 | Pavlos Tsitsipas $11 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $193 | Over $164 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $239 | Under $46 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | — | Wizards $209 | Wizards $22 |