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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCheongkokhinFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1–1, n=2)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$26K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #891PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (34 of 38 open)no open consensus position76% (258 of 341 open)52% (83 of 159 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1 at avg 29¢, ROI +71%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)100% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)0%16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)0%15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

62 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCheongkokhinFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $9.3KYes $3.2K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $10KYes $284
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $6.0KYes $3.4K
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $7.0KReal Sociedad de Fútbol $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $324No $5.7K
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.8KYes $1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
——Juan Manuel Cerundolo $4.1KElias Ymer $210
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $3.9KYes $128
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $845Over $3.0K
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
——AIK $3.5KBK Hacken $123
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.8KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.0KNo $336
Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.9KUnder $267
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.9KYes $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.0KOver $407
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KOver $23
CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $556Over $668
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $5
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KUnder $6
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.0KUnder $29
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
opposite sides · consensus Emile Hudd
——Emile Hudd $270Justin Boulais $614
Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $438Yes $2
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $19Yes $82
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $24Yes $46
Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $54Over $1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $632K—No $54K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $84KYes $20K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $50KNo $4.8K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $24KNo $17K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $29KNo $8.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $29KNo $6.0K
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $27KUnder $7.0K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $23KNo $7.0K
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
same side · consensus Como 1907
——FC Internazionale Milano $5.7KFC Internazionale Milano $14K
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $10KUnder $8.6K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $15KOver $2.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $8.7KYes $1.9K
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.9KNo $6.6K
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Groningen
——FC Groningen $4.1KFC Groningen $6.1K
Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $4.3KYes $5.8K
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.4KYes $6.1K