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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
76marshFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)82% (23–5, n=28)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$40K$3.7M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #631PM monthly #13PM monthly #97PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (284 of 394 open)72% (59 of 82 open)59% (44 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 63¢, ROI +44%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 100% of 7)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 7)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 100% of 9)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market76marshFlaznorpndb1RN1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $29KUnder $31KUnder $5.6K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Mika Brunold $7.5K—Borna Gojo $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $4.9K—Olle Wallin $38
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $204—No $1.5K
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Will Korona Kielce win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $54—Yes $830
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $248—Robin Montgomery $537
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $349—Yes $152
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes
—Damir Dzumhur $209—Inaki Montes $169
Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $342—Yes $2
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
—Tottenham Hotspur FC $336—Leeds United FC $1
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $88—Under $159
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $108—Yes $8
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
—Leeds United FC $39—Tottenham Hotspur FC $46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $34K—No $9.2K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $21K—No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8K—No $9.8K
Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $57
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.1K—No $4.3K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $578Under $6.4K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Under $1.8K
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.2K—Yes $4.5K
Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.0K—No $2.8K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K—
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $3.0K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $487—Matteo Martineau $3.6K
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $908
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $2.3K—No $414
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $425—Noma Noha Akugue $2.2K
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Over $26
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Under $382
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Under $8
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $54—No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $945—Under $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $390—No $87
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $359—Under $19