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NoNoNoNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,539
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0.22
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadoxCTR | Noavg 69¢ | $730.08 | — | -$730.08 | 49% 1800-1902 (3702) |
LI LimousinCTR | Noavg 90¢ | $418.64 | — | -$418.64 | 50% 1850-1866 (3716) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Noavg 82.7¢ | $119.29 | — | -$119.29 | 48% 1776-1912 (3688) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $38.02 | — | -$38.02 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
PV pvc975 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $219.78 | — | +$0.22 | 98% 18444-384 (18828) |
LI
LightParadoxCTRInvested
$730.08
Value
—
PnL
-$730.08
Record
49%
1800-1902 (3702)
LI
LimousinCTRInvested
$418.64
Value
—
PnL
-$418.64
Record
50%
1850-1866 (3716)
MA
MadridTimeCTRInvested
$119.29
Value
—
PnL
-$119.29
Record
48%
1776-1912 (3688)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$38.02
Value
—
PnL
-$38.02
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
PV
pvc975Invested
$219.78
Value
—
PnL
+$0.22
Record
98%
18444-384 (18828)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x38f88fdd...cea849
Slug
elc-por-sto-2026-11-07-sto