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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1DVSBSTDFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)98% (250–6, n=256)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$231$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #916PM monthly #10PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)76% (103 of 136 open)52% (16 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1DVSBSTDFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $698
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Mio Mushika $2Kanon Sawashiro $48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $1.3KHarold Mayot $3.9K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $338
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $245
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $851Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $322Han Shi $156
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $170Warriors $87
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42