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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1DVSBSTDFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)98% (521–11, n=532)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$3.7K$3.7M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #916PM monthly #10PM monthly #63PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (10 of 14 open)73% (192 of 262 open)no open consensus position57% (67 of 117 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1DVSBSTDFlaznorpprimmRN1
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $18K—Yes $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Bayern München
—1. FSV Mainz 05 $12K—FC Bayern München $1.9K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.2K—Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5.2K—Under $19
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $981—Yes $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Under $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.9K—Yes $145
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $368—Under $1.7K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $67—Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $57—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $414—Over $1.2K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $1.2K—Jan Simonsson $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $15—Under $282
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151—Yes $38
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $83—Under $88
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $140
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $136—Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $115—Under $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19—Yes $50
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $103K—Yes $17K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $51K—Yes $17K
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $53K—No $4.4K
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $48K—No $312
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $23K—No $2.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.5K—No $8.7K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.6K—No $6.0K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $9.2K
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2K—No $4.3K
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9.0K—Yes $224
Hull City AFC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7K—No $2.8K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.7K—Over $693
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $2.8K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.0K—Under $703
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $612—No $1.7K
Will Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2K—No $40
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7K—Under $406
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.0K—Under $14
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7K—Over $258
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K