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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xce81e3c66a532c95b4d3e190aed398518eee9820FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)57% (8–6, n=14)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$39K$1.4M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #639PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (140 of 215 open)54% (39 of 72 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 63¢, ROI +38%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 2)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 4)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 2)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xce81e3c66a532c95b4d3e190aed398518eee9820FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $5.2KMax Houkes $698—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Tomas Etcheverry $380Max Dahlin $1.3K—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $10—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $718Under $301—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169Cavaliers $708—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $626Over $17—
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $619Yes $7—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $270Over $241—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $412Under $56—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $148Yes $85—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $25Rockets $146—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $31Over $16—
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.0KClement Tabur $25K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.0KUnder $4.4K—
Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $1.7KFilip Misolic $1.9K—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $636Under $2.6K—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $96—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $556Lakers $485—
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
—No $264No $667—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364Lakers $416—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $578No $34—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $186Pistons $248—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $290No $2—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162Raptors $116—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $77Under $196—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $90Under $114—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4Under $8—