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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x87a718...408ceaFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$133$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)63% (144 of 229 open)58% (42 of 73 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x87a718...408ceaFlaznorpRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $14KNo $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765Under $12KOver $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54Under $872Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5Over $446Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19Yes $491No $524
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2Under $203Under $41
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $354Yes $2.8K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34No $1.7K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9No $1.2K—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $11
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169Cavaliers $708
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $709Over $15
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $421Over $241
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $619Yes $7
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $412Under $56
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $71Rockets $139
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $185—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $25Rockets $146
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $39Raptors $126
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.5KClement Tabur $27K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.1KUnder $4.3K
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $671Under $2.6K
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $45
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $158
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $556Lakers $495
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39Over $956—
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
—No $265No $667
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364Lakers $416
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $5No $596—
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $179Rockets $369
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $504No $34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2Over $523—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $186Pistons $243
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $21—Over $360