Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (13–8, n=21)50% (95–96, n=191)47% (160–182, n=342)
Consensus PnL—$779K$44K-$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #43PM monthly #1PM monthly #19PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)59% (27 of 46 open)67% (6 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Portland Pilots
——Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $2.0KPortland Pilots $3.8K
Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt
same side · consensus Tristan Schoolkate
——Tristan Schoolkate $1.3KTristan Schoolkate $4.4K
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Portland Pilots
——Portland Pilots $4.5KPortland Pilots $34
Matsuyama: Ryuki Matsuda vs Max Schoenhaus
same side · consensus Max Schoenhaus
——Max Schoenhaus $1.2KMax Schoenhaus $2.9K
Matsuyama: Takuya Kumasaka vs Yi Zhou
same side · consensus Yi Zhou
——Takuya Kumasaka $199Takuya Kumasaka $662
W75 Brisbane: Sohyun Park vs Naiktha Bains
same side · consensus Sohyun Park
——Naiktha Bains $409Naiktha Bains $278
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $96Over $369