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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)100% (38–0, n=38)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$12K$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #255PM monthly #13PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)60% (116 of 194 open)69% (248 of 358 open)73% (56 of 77 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2Flaznorpndb1
Ducks vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Flames $87K—Ducks $59—
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $83KYes $174——
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $17—Yes $64K
Celtics vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Hornets $604—Celtics $49K—
Jazz vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Jazz $30K—Mavericks $817—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $240—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494—
Raptors vs. Bucks
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $1.8K—Raptors $4.2K—
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $514—Over $1.9K—
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1KNo $550——
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $95—No $675
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $273—Yes $383
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $201—Yes $454
Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $47—No $523
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $44—Yes $420
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $171—Yes $258
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $238—Yes $171
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $221—No $47
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $237—No $3
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Mavericks $56—Jazz $174—
Will Sunderland be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $90—No $119
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $58—No $66
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $84—No $4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22—No $51
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11—Raptors $56—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6No $35——
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus T1
T1 $368K—T1 $40—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $67—No $337K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12K—Grizzlies $952—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $151—Yes $11K
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $33—No $7.2K
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $20—Yes $5.4K
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $145—No $3.1K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.5K—No $142
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $599—No $408
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $165—Yes $629
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $15—Yes $534
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $8—Yes $525
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $175—Yes $258
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $407—No $3
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $20—Yes $365
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $214—Yes $160
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $21—Yes $343
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $188—Yes $143
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $71—No $252
Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus No
—No $223—No $65
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $268—No $5
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $110—No $3
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $77—Yes $29
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $64—Yes $41