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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)50% (15433–15507, n=30940)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #60PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)72% (171 of 237 open)57% (85 of 150 open)52% (16 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $68KTommy Paul $11KTommy Paul $137Tommy Paul $31K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KUnder $1.6KOver $1.5K
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
—Carl Overbeck $625Carl Overbeck $215Kasidit Samrej $107
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $740Alexandra Eala $4Tereza Valentova $11
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
opposite sides · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Melios Efstathiou $236Pablo Perez Ramos $98Melios Efstathiou $286
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $154—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4KUnder $2.2K—
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $77Yes $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Taranto: Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso
opposite sides · consensus Jay Clarke
—Jay Clarke $2.6KGianluca Cadenasso $44—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $519Arthur Fils $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $16—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $641Yes $424—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $583Yes $363—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $863No $5—
W15 Monastir: Amarni Banks vs Marta Soriano Santiago
opposite sides · consensus Marta Soriano Santiago
—Amarni Banks $80Marta Soriano Santiago $675—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $514Under $207—
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $546Yes $96—
Kitchee vs. Phnom Penh Crown FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $355Over $228—
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
—HNK Hajduk Split $233Lincoln Red Imps FC $274—
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $70No $400—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $91Yes $360—
Spread: FK Karvan Yevlakh (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Simal
—Simal $307FK Karvan Yevlakh $67—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $292Yes $70—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $329Over $6—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $301Yes $3—
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $287Yes $9—
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $176Yes $49—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $119Max Hans Rehberg $83—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $119No $49—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $125Yes $38—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $134Yes $2—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $99—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52Under $43—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $5BetBoom Team $26—
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
opposite sides · consensus BakS eSports
—BakS eSports $5Honvéd $12—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $7.6K—Anna Blinkova $47K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K—Yes $2.3K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $16KCarlos Alcaraz $3.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
—Magda Linette $5.0K—Magda Linette $8.5K