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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmQuantDeLaFugaziRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)64% (1197–672, n=1869)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)50% (26154–25785, n=51939)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$114K$14.8M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #53Hand-pickedPM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus54% (21 of 39 open)76% (13 of 17 open)58% (90 of 156 open)66% (39 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%60% of 1765 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)24% (won 20% of 421)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 45% of 383)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 73% of 413)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)31% (won 93% of 548)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmQuantDeLaFugaziRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $20K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $133—Rams $8.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.8K—Over $1.2K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $1.2K—Lions $6.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $131—Giants $6.9K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.9K—Under $2.0K—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $97—Over $5.6K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.3K—Over $1.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.0K—Over $99—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Lions $2.0K—Dolphins $2.9K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.6K—Over $142—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Saints $50—Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Saints $958—Browns $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $94—Cowboys $1.8K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $267—Lions $787—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $48K—Chiefs $13K—
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $11K—Dolphins $2.5K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.3K—Under $6.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
Eagles $3.4K—Eagles $1.1K—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $195—Eagles $3.2K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $1.6K—Dolphins $229—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $924—Over $657—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $67
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Saints $16—Saints $1.4K—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $745—Commanders $603—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $14—