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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (17410–17293, n=34703) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 68% (208–98, n=306) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $2.8M | $14.8M | -$105K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #584 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (94 of 188 open) | 52% (69 of 132 open) | 49% (173 of 355 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 12930 at avg 61¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 989) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 11% (won 38% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2698) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 12% (won 91% of 23) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 38% (won 95% of 4911) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 34% (won 99% of 4332) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 64% (won 99% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $91K | No $196 | — |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $53 | No $19K | — |
| Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Le Mans FC | — | AS Monaco FC $4.8K | Le Mans FC $2.1K | — |
| SK Sturm Graz vs. FC Salzburg: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | Over $6.0K | — |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $326 | Yes $5.0K | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.8K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.4K | — | No $531 |
| Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC | — | Aston Villa FC $251 | Manchester United FC $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 0 1. FC Union Berlin? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | No $1.5K | — |
| Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | No $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtic FC | — | Celtic FC $131 | Kilmarnock FC $418 | — |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $442 | No $3 | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | Over $250 | — |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $27 | Yes $173 | — |
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3 | — | No $87 |
| Carrarese Calcio vs. UC Sampdoria: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3 | Under $18 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5 | Under $5 | — |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $210K | No $4.8K | — |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.6K | Yes $13K | — |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | No $8.7K | — |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $41 | No $9.2K | — |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.6K | Yes $6.3K | — |
| Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $220 | Yes $6.3K | — |
| Legia Warszawa vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $369 | Under $4.4K | — |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Over $205 | — |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $9 | No $3.0K | — |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | Under $72 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | Under $2.3K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $160 | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Aston Villa FC | — | Aston Villa FC $147 | Aston Villa FC $1.1K | — |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $930 | Under $126 | — |
| Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $12 | Under $758 | — |
| Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $156 | No $201 | — |
| Manchester United FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $31 | No $210 | — |
| Lima: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ignacio Monzon same side · consensus Santiago De la Fuente | — | Ignacio Monzon $13 | Ignacio Monzon $212 | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $173 | Under $25 | — |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $93 | Under $21 | — |
| Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $78 | Yes $34 | — |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $6 | Under $8 | — |
| Will Angers SCO win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $8 | No $3 | — |