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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)65% (4437–2347, n=6784)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$4.8M$23K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #98was PM monthly #979PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)57% (79 of 139 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1Pan9XRN1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34KUnder $3Under $2.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
——Luca Van Assche $43Ben Shelton $25K
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $18Magda Linette $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $67No $2.6K
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $63No $1.7K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $10Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $52Over $1.7K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $140No $617
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $174No $513
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $281Yes $63
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $19Yes $166
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $13No $156
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $69Under $79
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $8No $140
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $105Over $36
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $115Under $8
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $22No $96
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $75No $5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
——FC Bayern München $291. FSV Mainz 05 $48
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $61Under $1
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $11Under $11
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $16No $5
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $7Under $6
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
——Leeds United FC $8Tottenham Hotspur FC $2
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $287No $26K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $9.2K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $62No $8.7K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $200Over $6.3K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $6.4KUnder $2—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $244Yes $5.1K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $12Over $2.2K
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $36No $2.1K
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $89No $1.9K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $138Yes $1.6K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $12Under $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $60Under $1.3K
W50 Huamantla: Valeriya Strakhova vs Cadence Brace
same side · consensus Cadence Brace
——Cadence Brace $18Cadence Brace $728
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $111No $524
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $135No $412
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $69No $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $78Yes $6
Taranto: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Kilian Feldbausch
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Carlo Alberto Caniato $53Carlo Alberto Caniato $5
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $15Under $14
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $13Yes $3