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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmtestest10
Record (consensus markets)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$3.6M$17K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #10PM monthly #56PM monthly #478
Sides with the consensus63% (43 of 68 open)74% (154 of 209 open)75% (15 of 20 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)0%
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmtestest10
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Lions $30KDolphins $165Lions $47K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $27KCommanders $221Commanders $247—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $15KColts $170Colts $5.1K—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $38KChiefs $5.5KChiefs $49K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $19KOver $398——
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $19KArkansas Razorbacks $161——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13K—Under $1.4K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.6K—Under $3.3K—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $5.2KHeat $304——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $33—Over $4.2K—
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.1KUnder $1.6K——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $1.9K—
Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling
opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Karl Poling $45Filip Jeff Planinsek $2.9K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $345Over $2.0K——
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Getafe CF
Villarreal CF $187Getafe CF $1.3K——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $84——
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $949Under $286——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $45576ers $592——
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $88—Eagles $143—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $68—Commanders $14—
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus RED Canids Academy
BESTIA Academy $21RED Canids Academy $7——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $55K—Over $19K—
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K—49ers $40K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $1.7K—Lions $11K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.1KOver $899——
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $58—Under $3.2K—
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold $880Sønderjyske Fodbold $2.2K——
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Schalke 04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $776TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.2K——
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $5Justin Boulais $1.7K——
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $1.5KPanthers $27——
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C
same side · consensus MASONIC
MASONIC $895MASONIC $15——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $113Under $285——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $48—Eagles $95—