Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 55% (6–5, n=11) · PM monthly #335 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$18.8K
Record
6W / 5L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 11 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1583
Source
PM monthly #335
Record (90 d)
2/2 · 100%
Trades
290
Markets
14
Volume
$160.6K
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Specialties
8 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 67¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where testest10's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.