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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #114PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus58% (55 of 95 open)74% (146 of 196 open)73% (73 of 100 open)59% (23 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1primm
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $44KBroncos $1.1K—Panthers $6.6K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $50KCommanders $320—Commanders $285
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $21KColts $63—Colts $5.7K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $42KChiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $747——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9.1K——Under $6.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $11K76ers $797——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.4K——Over $3.9K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Under $5.3K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Under $4.6K
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $345Over $3.3K——
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $3.5K——Commanders $133
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $26——Under $3.3K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $2.7K——Saints $16
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $924
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6——Under $1.6K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $80——
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $597——Under $97
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $332——Colts $76
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $55——Eagles $195
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $40K——Lions $47K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K——49ers $40K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $19K——Over $6.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.2KOver $1.3K——
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $95——Under $5.0K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
Eagles $820——Eagles $3.4K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $291——Eagles $957
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $560Panthers $30——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118Under $297——
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
Mitchell Krueger $250Mitchell Krueger $78——
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Green Bay Phoenix
Green Bay Phoenix $249Green Bay Phoenix $59——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $53——Eagles $131
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
same side · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Yanis Ghazouani Durand $105Yanis Ghazouani Durand $39——