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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $230K | $208K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (91 of 153 open) | 66% (114 of 172 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | Over $15K | — |
| Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $24 | Over $7.6K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | Over $5.3K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $42 | Nuggets $5.1K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $28 | Under $5.0K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $561 | Pelicans $3.9K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $6 | Over $4.1K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $40 | Under $791 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3 | Magic $239 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $9 | Under $121 | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Sam Houston Bearkats opposite sides · consensus Sam Houston Bearkats | Sam Houston Bearkats $29 | Pepperdine Waves $37 | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $38 | Over $2 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4 | Under $9 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | Under $9 | — |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Tulsa Golden Hurricane $4 | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $5 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Celtics $2 | Raptors $5 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $133 | Raptors $26K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nuggets $59 | Nuggets $22K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $279 | Magic $14K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $35 | Lakers $14K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $153 | Bulls $10K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $20 | Over $9.7K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $5 | Nets $5.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | Under $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $4 | Bucks $1.6K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | Senators $76 | Senators $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Boise State Broncos $42 | Boise State Broncos $829 | — |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $12 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $819 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3 | Over $308 | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $16 | Over $94 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $22 | Raptors $73 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $16 | Nets $66 | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $17 | Under $22 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $19 | Over $4 | — |